Central Arkansas
W-L: (31-25) PR = 92.7097Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 2-11 214 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 12-11 215 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 2-10 215 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 6- 4 220 A Dallas Baptist 5- 8 221 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 3- 2 221 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 2- 5 222 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 13- 5 224 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 3-14 227 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 1 228 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 8 301 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 9- 3 303 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 0 306 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 7- 2 306 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 2- 3 308 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 2- 7 310 H Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 8- 7 313 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 16-12 314 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 3-16 315 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 6 317 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 4- 4 320 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 17-12 321 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2-18 322 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8- 7 324 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2-15 327 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 1- 4 328 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 8- 0 329 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 4- 8 331 A Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 3-13 402 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 3- 4 403 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 2 404 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 9-16 407 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9- 5 410 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 12- 5 411 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10- 5 412 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 6 414 A Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 5- 3 417 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 12- 2 418 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 8- 3 419 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 9- 6 421 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 10-20 422 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 10- 9 424 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 13- 2 425 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 14- 7 426 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 3 501 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 502 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 1- 2 503 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 8- 7 505 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 3- 8 508 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 11- 6 509 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4-12 509 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 3 514 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 4- 1 515 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 2 516 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 7 519 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 4 521 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UL Monroe 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.42
214 A UL Monroe 12-11 1 -3 + 3.58
215 A UL Monroe 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.42
215 A UL Monroe 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.58
221 H Northwestern State 3- 2 1 2 -1.05
221 H Northwestern State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.05
222 H Northwestern State 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.95
224 A Oklahoma State 3-14 -11 -5 -- -5.79
227 H South Dakota State 5- 1 4 3 1.26
228 H South Dakota State 5- 8 -3 3 -- -5.74
301 H South Dakota State 9- 3 6 3 + 3.26
303 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.83
306 A Middle Tennessee 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.40
306 A UL Monroe 2- 3 -1 -3 1.58
308 A Little Rock 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.10
310 H Oral Roberts 8- 7 1 2 -1.43
313 A Eastern Kentucky 16-12 4 1 + 3.18
314 A Eastern Kentucky 3-16 -13 1 --- -13.82
315 A Eastern Kentucky 5- 6 -1 1 -1.82
317 H Florida Atlantic 4- 4 0 0 0.37
320 H Bellarmine 17-12 5 2 + 2.77
321 A Arizona State 2-18 -16 -6 --- -8.39
322 H Bellarmine 8- 7 1 2 -1.23
324 A Arkansas 2-15 -13 -5 --- -7.52
327 H Austin Peay 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.63
328 H Austin Peay 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.37
329 H Austin Peay 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.63
331 A Arkansas Pine Bluff 3-13 -10 0 --- -9.63
402 A North Alabama 3- 4 -1 -1 0.37
403 A North Alabama 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.37
404 A North Alabama 9-16 -7 -1 -- -5.63
407 A Austin Peay 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.73
410 H Georgia Southern 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.52
411 A Lipscomb 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.21
412 A Lipscomb 5- 6 -1 0 -0.79
414 A Oral Roberts 5- 3 2 1 0.92
417 H Eastern Kentucky 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.83
418 H Eastern Kentucky 8- 3 5 2 + 2.83
419 H Eastern Kentucky 9- 6 3 2 0.83
421 A Arkansas State 10-20 -10 -3 --- -6.51
422 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 10- 9 1 1 0.02
424 A Bellarmine 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.13
425 A Bellarmine 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.13
426 A Bellarmine 6- 3 3 1 + 2.13
501 A Austin Peay 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.27
502 A Austin Peay 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.27
503 A Austin Peay 8- 7 1 -1 1.73
505 A Memphis 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.66
508 H North Alabama 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.02
509 H North Alabama 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.98
509 H North Alabama 4- 3 1 0 1.02
514 A Sam Houston 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.41
515 A Troy 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 7.19
516 H Lipscomb 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.14
519 H Stetson 6- 4 2 1 1.38
521 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 4 -1 -2 1.03
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A UL Monroe 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.42 314 A Eastern Kentucky 3-16 -13 1 --- -13.82 321 A Arizona State 2-18 -16 -6 --- -8.39 324 A Arkansas 2-15 -13 -5 --- -7.52 331 A Arkansas Pine Bluff 3-13 -10 0 --- -9.63 421 A Arkansas State 10-20 -10 -3 --- -6.51 509 H North Alabama 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.98 215 A UL Monroe 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.42 221 H Northwestern State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.05 224 A Oklahoma State 3-14 -11 -5 -- -5.79 228 H South Dakota State 5- 8 -3 3 -- -5.74 329 H Austin Peay 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.63 404 A North Alabama 9-16 -7 -1 -- -5.63 516 H Lipscomb 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.14 308 A Little Rock 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.10 327 H Austin Peay 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.63 501 A Austin Peay 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.27 505 A Memphis 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Middle Tennessee 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.40 328 H Austin Peay 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.37 417 H Eastern Kentucky 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.83 424 A Bellarmine 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.13 425 A Bellarmine 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.13 515 A Troy 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 7.19 215 A UL Monroe 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.58 222 H Northwestern State 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.95 407 A Austin Peay 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.73 410 H Georgia Southern 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.52 411 A Lipscomb 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.21 508 H North Alabama 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.02 514 A Sam Houston 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.41 214 A UL Monroe 12-11 1 -3 + 3.58 301 H South Dakota State 9- 3 6 3 + 3.26 303 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.83 313 A Eastern Kentucky 16-12 4 1 + 3.18 320 H Bellarmine 17-12 5 2 + 2.77 403 A North Alabama 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.37 418 H Eastern Kentucky 8- 3 5 2 + 2.83 426 A Bellarmine 6- 3 3 1 + 2.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 2-11 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 -1.19
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 12-11 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 14.27
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 2-10 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 -1.19
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 6- 4 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 14.27
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 3- 2 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.52 9.49
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 2- 5 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.52 -2.39
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 13- 5 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.52 9.49
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 3-14 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.52 -0.51
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 1 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 8.78
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 8 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 -2.56
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 9- 3 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.52 8.78
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 5- 0 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.52 9.36
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 7- 2 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.52 13.05
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 2- 3 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 -1.19
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 2- 7 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.52 -1.37
3 H Oral Roberts ( 6-15, 91.0) 8- 7 -8.95 9.48 -0.68 0.52 9.09
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 16-12 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.52 10.76
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 3-16 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.52 -2.07
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 5- 6 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.52 -2.07
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 4- 4 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.52 0.00
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 17-12 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.52 9.31
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2-18 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.52 -0.41
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8- 7 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.52 9.31
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2-15 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.52 -0.44
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 1- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.52 -2.02
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 8- 0 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.52 10.96
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 4- 8 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.52 -2.02
3 A Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 3-13 -7.49 10.93 0.68 0.52 -1.76
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.52 -1.50
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4- 2 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.52 13.02
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 9-16 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.52 -1.50
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.52 12.36
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 12- 5 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.52 10.08
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10- 5 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.52 11.82
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 6 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.52 -1.80
3 A Oral Roberts ( 6-15, 91.0) 5- 3 -8.95 9.48 0.68 0.52 10.49
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 12- 2 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.52 9.36
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 8- 3 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.52 9.36
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 9- 6 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.52 9.36
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 10-20 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.52 -0.96
3 H Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 10- 9 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 0.52 10.59
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 13- 2 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.52 10.70
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 14- 7 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.52 10.70
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6- 3 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.52 10.70
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.52 -1.67
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 1- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.52 -1.67
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 8- 7 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.52 12.36
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 3- 8 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 -1.25
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 11- 6 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.52 11.62
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4-12 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.52 -1.85
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4- 3 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.52 11.62
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 4- 1 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.52 13.06
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.52 15.93
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 4- 7 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.52 -2.15
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.52 10.96
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.52 -1.33
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304.16
|
winning pts = 341.0286 losing points = -36.8715
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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